Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.7%). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Dowd 53.3% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Lowry
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.4% (771)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
57.1% (7)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
45.5% (165)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dowd
Home
53.4% (515)
58.2% (462)
Away
52.6% (549)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lowry
Dowd
P1
54.2%
55.6%
P2
54.4%
50.5%
P3
50.8%
53.9%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%