Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 55.2%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs Hischier 54.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 82.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lowry
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Lowry
Hischier
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Hischier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
55.0% (1,107)
+0.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
63.1% (252)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
43.6% (149)
-2.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lowry is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Lowry shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hischier
Home
54.5% (402)
56.5% (763)
Away
54.1% (351)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Lowry
Hischier
P1
52.4%
56.0%
P2
56.3%
57.6%
P3
54.7%
53.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |