Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Hischier 55.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 92.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 58.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 63.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Lowry
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Lowry
Hischier
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
0
Lowry
Hischier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Hischier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.8% (1,228)
-2.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
62.1% (282)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
47.6% (267)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hischier
Home
53.0% (583)
56.5% (867)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Lowry
Hischier
P1
52.1%
57.9%
P2
51.8%
55.9%
P3
52.3%
52.7%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |