Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Hischier 52.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 45-26 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 84.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Lowry
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
26
(71 meetings)
45
26
Lowry
Hischier
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
9
15
Lowry
Hischier
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
19
1
Lowry
Hischier
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
17
10
Lowry
Hischier
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.5% (8,379)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
59.7% (1,736)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
49.4% (903)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hischier
Home
53.5% (5,893)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Lowry
Hischier
P1
51.5%
52.9%
P2
51.8%
52.4%
P3
51.4%
52.6%
OT
46.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |