Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Hischier 53.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 81.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Lowry
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Hischier
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Lowry
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.4% (1,185)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
57.8% (315)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
57.1% (154)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hischier
Home
52.4% (597)
53.4% (844)
Away
48.4% (583)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Lowry
Hischier
P1
48.5%
49.7%
P2
52.2%
54.6%
P3
50.5%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
65.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |