Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Hintz 53.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 76.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hintz 60.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Lowry
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Lowry
Hintz
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Lowry
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Lowry
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
54.2% (336)
+4.4%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
56.8% (44)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
50.0% (20)
+3.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Hintz is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hintz
Home
61.0% (602)
57.3% (232)
Away
53.7% (514)
50.0% (168)
By Period
Lowry
Hintz
P1
57.3%
53.3%
P2
58.1%
51.2%
P3
57.4%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |