Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Hintz 53.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 75.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Lowry
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Lowry
Hintz
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Lowry
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Lowry
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
53.6% (711)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
53.8% (93)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
58.7% (46)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hintz
Home
53.0% (583)
52.6% (460)
Away
50.6% (605)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Lowry
Hintz
P1
52.1%
59.0%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
51.1%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |