Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Hintz 51.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 87.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 55.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Lowry
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Hintz
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.6% (439)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
37.9% (29)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
63.6% (11)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hintz
Home
52.4% (597)
53.5% (256)
Away
48.4% (583)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Lowry
Hintz
P1
48.5%
59.5%
P2
52.2%
49.2%
P3
50.5%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |