Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Hintz 55.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 58.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Lowry
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lowry
Hintz
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Lowry
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
4
Lowry
Hintz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
56.3% (512)
-7.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
63.3% (30)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
45.8% (24)
-3.2%
On even strength, Hintz has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hintz
Home
50.2% (671)
57.3% (262)
Away
47.8% (709)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Lowry
Hintz
P1
48.4%
54.8%
P2
50.1%
56.0%
P3
47.8%
57.5%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |