Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Colton 51.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 57.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Lowry
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Lowry
Colton
Last 10: Lowry 1-9 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
4
Lowry
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
4
Lowry
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
52.1% (741)
-2.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
48.3% (60)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
42.1% (19)
+0.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Lowry
Colton
Home
50.2% (671)
54.0% (411)
Away
47.8% (709)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Lowry
Colton
P1
48.4%
56.7%
P2
50.1%
53.1%
P3
47.8%
46.3%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Ross Colton |