Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Colton 45.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 88.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 96.7%
96.7%
3.3%
Lowry
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
41.3% (75)
+12.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
35.3% (17)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
40.0% (5)
+2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Lowry
Colton
Home
53.0% (583)
42.9% (49)
Away
50.6% (605)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Lowry
Colton
P1
52.1%
48.9%
P2
51.8%
33.3%
P3
52.3%
31.8%
Final 5 min
53.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |