Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.1%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Colton 51.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 78.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 59.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Lowry
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Lowry
Colton
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
7
Lowry
Colton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
4
Lowry
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.6% (1,800)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
48.8% (162)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
34.5% (29)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Lowry
Colton
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Lowry
Colton
P1
51.5%
53.5%
P2
51.8%
52.6%
P3
51.4%
47.9%
OT
46.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |