Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Lowry
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
53.2% (299)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
33.3% (3)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
46.5% (86)
-4.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carpenter
Home
53.4% (515)
54.6% (207)
Away
52.6% (549)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Lowry
Carpenter
P1
54.2%
52.3%
P2
54.4%
51.5%
P3
50.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |