Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 68.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lowry
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
53.1% (113)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
100.0% (1)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
60.0% (10)
-20.0%
On power play, Carpenter has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carpenter
Home
52.4% (597)
58.5% (65)
Away
48.4% (583)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Lowry
Carpenter
P1
48.5%
65.8%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%