Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Poehling 47.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 81.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Lowry
Poehling
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
49.8% (626)
+5.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
58.3% (12)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
38.2% (207)
+2.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
54.5% (402)
47.3% (404)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
52.4%
53.5%
P2
56.0%
39.4%
P3
54.2%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2026 | OT | 00:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |