Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.1% vs Poehling 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (459)
48.4% (440)
+6.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (6)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (70)
39.4% (132)
+2.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
53.4% (268)
48.2% (222)
Away
54.0% (265)
45.2% (356)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
52.1%
54.1%
P2
55.8%
40.5%
P3
53.4%
44.9%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |