Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Poehling 47.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Poehling
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Lowry
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
45.1% (437)
+10.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.4% (39)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
61.5% (13)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
53.4% (515)
46.6% (232)
Away
52.6% (549)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
54.2%
43.9%
P2
54.4%
49.1%
P3
50.8%
46.4%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |