Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.1%). Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Poehling 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lowry
Poehling
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Lowry
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Lowry
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
50.4% (752)
-1.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
37.0% (27)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
45.3% (159)
-2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
50.2% (671)
51.2% (467)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
48.4%
54.6%
P2
50.1%
46.7%
P3
47.8%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |