Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Poehling 46.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 51.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Lowry
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Lowry
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
46.5% (269)
+6.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
66.7% (3)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
42.4% (139)
-2.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Lowry
Poehling
Home
52.4% (597)
45.2% (177)
Away
48.4% (583)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Lowry
Poehling
P1
48.5%
47.7%
P2
52.2%
44.4%
P3
50.5%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |