Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 50.4%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lowry
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lowry
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
40.9% (232)
+14.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
100.0% (1)
-45.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
40.0% (30)
+2.3%
On power play, Lafferty has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lafferty
Home
53.4% (515)
38.2% (123)
Away
52.6% (549)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Lowry
Lafferty
P1
54.2%
41.6%
P2
54.4%
36.7%
P3
50.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |