Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 81.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 63.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Lowry
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Lafferty
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lowry
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lowry
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
3
Lowry
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
42.6% (324)
+6.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
31.3% (16)
+36.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
43.8% (16)
-1.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lafferty
Home
50.2% (671)
40.9% (181)
Away
47.8% (709)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Lowry
Lafferty
P1
48.4%
42.2%
P2
50.1%
36.4%
P3
47.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |