Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.1%). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Lowry
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lowry
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.2% (366)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
60.0% (15)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
46.2% (104)
-6.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lafferty
Home
52.4% (597)
53.1% (258)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Lowry
Lafferty
P1
48.5%
52.5%
P2
52.2%
49.7%
P3
50.5%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |