Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Aho 50.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lowry
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Aho
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Lowry
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
49.9% (851)
+5.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
53.5% (144)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
43.3% (60)
-2.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Lowry
Aho
Home
54.5% (402)
53.2% (554)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Lowry
Aho
P1
52.4%
49.1%
P2
56.0%
50.8%
P3
54.2%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |