Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Lowry
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Jarvis
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Jarvis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
46.2% (171)
+3.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
51.9% (54)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
39.4% (127)
+3.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarvis
Home
50.2% (671)
46.1% (204)
Away
47.8% (709)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Lowry
Jarvis
P1
48.4%
42.5%
P2
50.1%
42.9%
P3
47.8%
48.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |