Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 81.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Lowry
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
32.1% (81)
+21.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
38.6% (57)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
28.6% (14)
+14.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarvis
Home
53.0% (583)
40.6% (69)
Away
50.6% (605)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Lowry
Jarvis
P1
52.1%
30.9%
P2
51.8%
30.6%
P3
52.3%
47.1%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |