Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 75.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 92.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 93.8%
93.8%
6.2%
Lowry
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lowry
Jarvis
Last 7: Lowry 6-1 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Jarvis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
42.0% (352)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
43.7% (119)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
38.2% (157)
+6.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jarvis
Home
53.5% (5,893)
43.8% (336)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Lowry
Jarvis
P1
51.5%
39.7%
P2
51.8%
39.5%
P3
51.4%
46.1%
OT
46.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |