Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Nosek 53.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lowry
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Lowry
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.1% (557)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.0% (4)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
47.7% (111)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nosek
Home
53.4% (515)
52.3% (342)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Lowry
Nosek
P1
54.2%
49.0%
P2
54.4%
53.8%
P3
50.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |