Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Lowry
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
53.0% (400)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
33.3% (12)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
45.5% (44)
-2.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nosek
Home
53.0% (583)
49.6% (244)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Lowry
Nosek
P1
52.1%
53.1%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
52.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |