Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ruzicka wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 68.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Ruzicka
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ruzicka
Carrick
Last 6: Ruzicka 3-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
1
0
Ruzicka
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Ruzicka
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (219)
48.9% (352)
-2.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
81.3% (16)
-56.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ruzicka is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Ruzicka shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Carrick
Home
47.8% (134)
46.9% (192)
Away
43.8% (89)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Ruzicka
Carrick
P1
43.4%
48.1%
P2
51.9%
50.0%
P3
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |