Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ruzicka wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Carrick 52.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 85.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.5%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 57.0%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Ruzicka
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Ruzicka
Carrick
Last 10: Ruzicka 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
2
0
Ruzicka
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
4
Ruzicka
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Ruzicka
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
52.1% (2,513)
-5.5%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
61.3% (75)
-6.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ruzicka is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Ruzicka shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Carrick
Home
44.9% (294)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
48.9% (315)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Ruzicka
Carrick
P1
46.0%
51.8%
P2
49.1%
52.2%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |