Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 48.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 80.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.7%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 50.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Ruzicka
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ruzicka
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
1
0
Ruzicka
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Ruzicka
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (164)
49.2% (307)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ruzicka is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Ruzicka shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Carrick
Home
47.0% (66)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.1% (108)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Ruzicka
Carrick
P1
48.2%
41.0%
P2
47.1%
51.2%
P3
48.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |