Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.8% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Coyle 52.4% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 81.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 61.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 70.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Kempe
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kempe
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Kempe
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Kempe
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
52.7% (849)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
48.1% (131)
-48.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Kempe is 23.8% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kempe shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Kempe
Coyle
Home
11.1% (9)
53.3% (512)
Away
35.7% (42)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Kempe
Coyle
P1
22.2%
53.8%
P2
33.3%
47.8%
P3
25.0%
56.7%
OT
100.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
7.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |