Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Coyle 50.5% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 78.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 53.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Kempe
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Kempe
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
52.3% (811)
-14.1%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
44.3% (61)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.8% (181)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Kempe
Coyle
Home
36.4% (66)
49.0% (537)
Away
35.5% (76)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Kempe
Coyle
P1
37.3%
48.7%
P2
36.7%
49.6%
P3
31.4%
53.1%
OT
42.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |