Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Zary 41.1% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Zary 63.2%
Defensive zone
Zary 57.3%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.9%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Kempe
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
36.6% (205)
+10.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
41.7% (36)
-8.4%
On even strength, Kempe has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Kempe is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Kempe shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zary
Home
38.5% (13)
38.8% (152)
Away
54.5% (11)
34.8% (89)
By Period
Kempe
Zary
P1
33.3%
33.3%
P2
42.9%
31.7%
P3
62.5%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%