Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Zary 45.1% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 63.5%
Defensive zone
Zary 55.0%
Neutral zone
Zary 54.9%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kempe
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
43.0% (114)
-3.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
31.6% (19)
+3.0%
On even strength, Zary has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Kempe is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Kempe shoots left. Zary is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zary
Home
38.9% (54)
43.5% (69)
Away
37.7% (61)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Kempe
Zary
P1
40.5%
46.0%
P2
38.5%
40.0%
P3
33.3%
36.8%
Final 5 min
40.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
41.4%