Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.7% vs 40.0%). Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Zary 41.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 52.5%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kempe
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
40.5% (425)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
36.2% (58)
+8.1%
On power play, Kempe has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Kempe shoots left. Zary is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zary
Home
42.6% (1,033)
40.6% (283)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
39.0% (200)
By Period
Kempe
Zary
P1
39.7%
39.3%
P2
40.2%
36.5%
P3
42.4%
44.7%
OT
37.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
34.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%