Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 41.2%). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Zary 42.6% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.2%
Defensive zone
Zary 52.0%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.9%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kempe
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
41.8% (447)
-1.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
36.2% (58)
+6.9%
On power play, Kempe has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zary
Home
42.4% (1,045)
41.3% (293)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
41.0% (212)
By Period
Kempe
Zary
P1
39.5%
40.4%
P2
40.1%
38.6%
P3
42.2%
45.2%
OT
37.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
34.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%