Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Barzal 41.4% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 55.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 61.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Kempe
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
40.4% (456)
-0.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
34.2% (38)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kempe is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Kempe shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Kempe
Barzal
Home
38.9% (54)
38.0% (242)
Away
37.7% (61)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Kempe
Barzal
P1
40.5%
46.6%
P2
38.5%
35.4%
P3
33.3%
38.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%