Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 23.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Barzal 39.3% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 73.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 63.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 57.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Kempe
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
35.0% (283)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kempe is 23.8% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kempe shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Kempe
Barzal
Home
11.1% (9)
37.0% (138)
Away
35.7% (42)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Kempe
Barzal
P1
22.2%
29.5%
P2
33.3%
44.5%
P3
25.0%
31.8%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%