Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Barzal 41.4% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 58.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 64.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Kempe
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
40.4% (463)
-2.2%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
34.2% (38)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On power play, Barzal has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Kempe
Barzal
Home
36.4% (66)
38.1% (244)
Away
35.5% (76)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Kempe
Barzal
P1
37.3%
46.6%
P2
36.7%
35.7%
P3
31.4%
37.7%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%