Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Copp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Copp 52.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 67.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 65.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Barkov
Copp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barkov
Copp
Last 7: Barkov 2-5 Copp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
0
3
Barkov
Copp
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Copp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Copp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Copp
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
53.6% (466)
+3.4%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
58.8% (119)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
46.0% (124)
+2.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Copp shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Barkov
Copp
Home
59.2% (557)
54.6% (346)
Away
55.1% (695)
51.8% (363)
By Period
Barkov
Copp
P1
56.7%
55.3%
P2
54.8%
50.0%
P3
59.7%
55.1%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |