Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Copp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Copp 49.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 72.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 52.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 59.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Barkov
Copp
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Barkov
Copp
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Copp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Copp
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov
Copp
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
3
Barkov
Copp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Copp
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
50.3% (947)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
54.6% (119)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
45.5% (233)
+5.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Copp shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Barkov
Copp
Home
58.1% (627)
51.3% (667)
Away
52.1% (705)
48.3% (632)
By Period
Barkov
Copp
P1
53.3%
50.2%
P2
55.0%
51.8%
P3
56.0%
48.0%
OT
60.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |