Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Copp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Copp 53.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Barkov
Copp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barkov
Copp
Last 8: Barkov 5-3 Copp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Copp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Copp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
2
Barkov
Copp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Copp
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
54.1% (833)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
77.5% (40)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
42.2% (128)
+3.0%
On power play, Copp has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Copp shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Home / Away
Barkov
Copp
Home
57.4% (540)
51.9% (511)
Away
57.1% (560)
55.3% (490)
By Period
Barkov
Copp
P1
57.6%
54.1%
P2
56.6%
54.2%
P3
56.9%
52.5%
OT
72.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |