Aleksander Barkov vs Casey Mittelstadt
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 64.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 78.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 70.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
4
Barkov
Mittelstadt
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
3
Barkov
Mittelstadt
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
6
Barkov
Mittelstadt
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
45.0% (3,922)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
49.7% (666)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
37.5% (96)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Home / Away
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Home
53.8% (7,227)
46.7% (2,316)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
44.3% (2,368)
By Period
Barkov
Mittelstadt
P1
52.7%
46.8%
P2
53.4%
46.1%
P3
52.9%
44.0%
OT
53.0%
36.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |