Aleksander Barkov vs Casey Mittelstadt
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Mittelstadt 44.7% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 87.1%
Defensive zone
Barkov 71.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 78.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
44.7% (886)
+10.8%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
40.2% (112)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
40.0% (5)
+6.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Home
56.4% (550)
46.0% (491)
Away
56.7% (476)
42.4% (512)
By Period
Barkov
Mittelstadt
P1
56.5%
44.0%
P2
55.5%
46.4%
P3
57.9%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |