Aleksander Barkov vs Casey Mittelstadt
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Mittelstadt 46.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 73.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Last 9: Barkov 2-7 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
4
Barkov
Mittelstadt
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
2
Barkov
Mittelstadt
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
45.3% (569)
+7.8%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
49.6% (135)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
40.6% (32)
+10.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Home
58.1% (627)
45.1% (366)
Away
52.1% (705)
46.8% (370)
By Period
Barkov
Mittelstadt
P1
53.3%
41.1%
P2
55.0%
51.1%
P3
56.0%
45.9%
OT
60.9%
30.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |