Aleksander Barkov vs Casey Mittelstadt

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barkov 56.7% vs Mittelstadt 47.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Barkov 66.0%
Defensive zone Barkov 65.5%
Neutral zone Barkov 66.8%
Result Aleksander Barkov favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Barkov Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Barkov Mittelstadt
Last 9: Barkov 5-4 Mittelstadt

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
3
Barkov Mittelstadt
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
46.4% (935)
+10.5%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
50.3% (173)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
50.0% (16)
-4.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Home
57.4% (540)
47.7% (583)
Away
57.1% (560)
46.4% (541)
By Period
Barkov
Mittelstadt
P1
57.6%
50.0%
P2
56.6%
46.2%
P3
56.9%
45.5%
OT
72.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%
47.5%
57.3%
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
47.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 27, 2024 2 10:52 Offensive Aleksander Barkov
Feb 27, 2024 2 02:23 Offensive Aleksander Barkov
Feb 15, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 15, 2024 2 08:11 Defensive Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 15, 2024 2 08:00 Defensive Aleksander Barkov
Feb 15, 2024 2 03:54 Offensive Aleksander Barkov
Feb 15, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Feb 15, 2024 1 09:26 Neutral Aleksander Barkov
Feb 15, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt