Aleksander Barkov vs Casey Mittelstadt
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Mittelstadt 47.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 65.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 66.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Last 9: Barkov 5-4 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
3
Barkov
Mittelstadt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
46.4% (935)
+10.5%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
50.3% (173)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
50.0% (16)
-4.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Barkov
Mittelstadt
Home
57.4% (540)
47.7% (583)
Away
57.1% (560)
46.4% (541)
By Period
Barkov
Mittelstadt
P1
57.6%
50.0%
P2
56.6%
46.2%
P3
56.9%
45.5%
OT
72.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |