Aleksander Barkov vs Connor Bedard
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Bedard 40.7% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 91.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 79.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 88.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Barkov
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Barkov
Bedard
Last 6: Barkov 6-0 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
38.9% (512)
+18.0%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
43.8% (16)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
25.0% (4)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Barkov
Bedard
Home
57.4% (540)
40.2% (246)
Away
57.1% (560)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Barkov
Bedard
P1
57.6%
39.9%
P2
56.6%
38.5%
P3
56.9%
39.0%
OT
72.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |