Aleksander Barkov vs Connor Bedard
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Bedard 39.8% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 70.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 71.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 55.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Barkov
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barkov
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Barkov
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Barkov
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
38.0% (618)
+17.5%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
38.7% (31)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
57.1% (7)
-10.4%
On power play, Barkov has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Barkov
Bedard
Home
56.4% (550)
40.5% (316)
Away
56.7% (476)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Barkov
Bedard
P1
56.5%
37.2%
P2
55.5%
36.9%
P3
57.9%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |