Aleksander Barkov vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Bedard 41.3% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 93.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 84.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 91.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Barkov
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Barkov
Bedard
Last 9: Barkov 7-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Barkov
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Bedard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
40.1% (1,580)
+12.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
51.9% (77)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
50.0% (24)
-2.2%
On even strength, Barkov has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Barkov
Bedard
Home
53.8% (7,227)
43.3% (785)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Barkov
Bedard
P1
52.7%
39.0%
P2
53.4%
40.7%
P3
52.9%
42.6%
OT
53.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |