Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Ryan 54.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 82.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 61.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Barkov
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barkov
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Barkov
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
60.8% (263)
-3.9%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
100.0% (1)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
46.2% (145)
-1.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Barkov
Ryan
Home
57.4% (540)
56.7% (201)
Away
57.1% (560)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Barkov
Ryan
P1
57.6%
56.7%
P2
56.6%
56.8%
P3
56.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |