Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Ryan 57.4% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 73.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Barkov
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
61.4% (220)
-5.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
100.0% (1)
-37.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
51.7% (29)
-5.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Barkov
Ryan
Home
56.4% (550)
64.2% (137)
Away
56.7% (476)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Barkov
Ryan
P1
56.5%
58.9%
P2
55.5%
62.8%
P3
57.9%
59.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%